An unusually quiet Atlantic hurricane season could begin this week. with potential for three tropical depressions are formed.
An area of stormy weather located several hundred miles from the border where the Atlantic Ocean meets the northeast Caribbean Sea, is 80% chance of organizes into a tropical depression “at least” over in next five days – with 60% chance over in next 48 hours – according to update released at 8:00 p.m. Tuesday by the National Hurricane Center. Depression is the weakest form of tropical cyclone, rotating low head system classified as a depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, depending on on his wind speed.
system still lacking a well-defined central characteristic of tropical cyclones, according to the hurricane center. Expected that move west and then west-northwest, at 5 to 10 miles per hour towards the islands of northeast caribbean over in next several days, the hurricane center said. If it reaches the strength of a tropical storm, which requires wind speed of at least 39 miles per hour, she will be called Danielle.
Presence of wind shear off the Caribbean may prevent further development outside of a tropical depression, according to AccuWeather, private forecasting service.
system is one of three low pressure zones are monitored for possible formation of cyclones when the Atlantic sinks into traditional peak period for formation of storms. Majority active part of hurricane season from mid-August to the end of October, with September 10 statistical peak of season.
“It looks like September can really hit off en active period in tropics. sustainable wave train of energy rolling off Africa in the tropical Atlantic is expected to keep things active for some time across the Atlantic basin,” said AccuWeather meteorologist Brandon Buckingham.
BUT second area of interest is a tropical wave off The West Coast of Africa received 40% chance of cyclone formation in in next five days and 20% chance in in next two days.
If it develops into a tropical depression, it is expected to be short-lived.
By the end of this week, the riots are predicted to move over cooler waters and beyond development not expected, the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday.
Third area of interest in Mid-Atlantic, Far East of Maryland. Expected that move East over in next several days. The weathermen set their chances of development by 30% over in next five days and 10% over in next 48 hours.
After Daniel, next the named storm would be Earl.
It might end up Existence just No tropical storm since 1961 on August 3rd in Atlantic, according to AccuWeather.
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There were only three named storms this season – Alex, Bonnie and Colin. with in last oneColin, absent-minded on July 3rd, which means this 58-day streak is the third longest. in Atlantic hurricane season history without a named storm since 1995.
The longest dry spell since 1995 was 61 days, from June 18 to August 18. in 1999. However, that two-month run of inaction was followed by a feverish withdrawal of hurricane season that featured five Category 4 storms (Bret, Cindy, Floyd, Gert and Lenny) and a rare Category 2 heavy rainfall, with glimpse over Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties in mid October. There also had a 59-day streak in the 2007 season.
Forecasters say dry air, sugar dust and wind shear were among the reasons why there was no more storm it year.
Of the three named storms this season, only Alex made his presence is known in South Florida dropped as much as 12 inches of rain in some areas.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released updated hurricane season forecasts earlier this month.
NOAA predicts 14 to 20 named storms and six up to 10 hurricanes with three to five are major, which means category 3 or higher.
The hurricane season ends November 30th.