Downing Street slapped Jacob Rees-Mogg after business secretary publicly vilified the governments official economic forecaster and suggested that the chancellor might ignore his findings.
Volley of Mr. Rees-Mogg against office for Budget responsibility welcome with distrust of economists, with one saying that his contribution was vital to the credibility of any statements made Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng.
And today Liz Truss official spokesman said prime minister It was full confidence in OBR ability to accurately predict.
representative also said that the IMF – which came in for another scathing criticism from Mr. Rees-Mogg played an “important role”. role”, which was appreciated by Mr. Kwarteng.
business secretary very unusual criticism of an independent budget monitor came just days after OBR submitted its original estimate of influence of Chancellor’s mini-budget dated 23 September to the Treasury.
His comments sparked rumors that the findings were damning and attempts were being made to undermine the faith. in them before final release of them final sentence on October 31.
Speaking on ITV Peston on On Wednesday, Mr Rees-Mogg said the OBR “record of Accurate prediction was not extremely good”.
He added: “Work of chancellors must do decisions in in round and not to assume that there is some separate forecaster who will hit nail on in head.
“There are other sources of information. OBR is not the only organization capable of give forecasts”.
But asked on Thursday, does Miss Truss have confidence in OBR ability provide accurate forecasts official The representative replied, “Yes.”
They said: “OBR is governments official forecaster and prime minister said on number of occasions when she appreciates their attention and respects their independence. They are highly valued body World.”
When asked what alternative predictions available, official said: “This true say other predictions made and it is important to consider all available evidence and views in the manufacture of these varieties of important decisions but OBR remains in governments official synoptic”.
pressed on was it helpful for Mr. Rees-Mogg humiliated OBR, they said: “OBR are very transparent and admit that it is challenges when you make your own predictions. But nevertheless, their work is highly respected all over the world.”
Paul Johnson, director of institute for The financial research think tank stated that this clear that economists can never be completely accurate in their predictions for future.
But he said that, contrary to Mr. Rees-Mogg’s hints, OBR had previously record of drawing overly pink picture of in the economy and not be overly gloomy.
“OBR historically over- optimistic consistently on in economy” said Mr. Johnson. ” economy actually did worse than OBR intended.”
He added: “Of course they matter. it’s really important for trust that has become so important over in last few weeks that we have these official predictions, and the Chancellor responds to this by saying, “This how I see my fiscal policy’.
Previously in day on On Thursday, Mr. Rees-Mogg said that the Agency’s data of National statistics could not be relied upon and it was suggested that the Bank of England may be to blame for in market the panic that followed the chancellor’s mini-budget.
His views have been criticized by economic experts.
Nigel People, director of policy and advocacy at the Pensions and Life Savings Association, said market there was a commotion”caused mainly due to the mini-budget [and] uncertainty about governments plans”.
Deutsche Bank UK Chief Economist Sanjay Raja said the mini-budget was “the straw that broke the camel’s leg”. back”.
As well as Financial Times US Editor-in-Chief Gillian Tett responded to Mr. Rees-Mogg’s remarks by saying: News Channel 4: “TO use non-technical term is pretty much bullshit.”
Resolution Foundation Executive Director Torsten Bell said: “If you spend summer story people you intend to abandon fiscal orthodoxy if you then announce package which resets the fiscal orthodoxy, then if you say on Sunday you gon’ keep doing it then I don’t think it’s should be a surprise to anyone of us what do you end up here up”.