A-level students should get ready for “disappointment” when results are announced this week, higher the Education Supervisor warned.
Office for Students predicted a significant surge in Applicants are denied their preferred universities after examination boards were ordered to hack down on spiral inflation estimates.
Even the brightest students who usually “not dream” of missing terms of their university offer can struggle this is year because results will fall below grades predicted by teachers, the Observer told The Telegraph.
A-level students results on Thursday never sat public exams before year they were due to take the GCSE in 2020 when all exams were canceled due to the pandemic meaning it was more difficult for teachers to make accurate predictions.
According to one analysis, about 40,000 young people expected to miss out on their preferred places.
The consequences of exams are year will be latest blow to a generation of young people whose education has been severely interrupted by Covid, including two long periods of school closures.
John Blake director for fair access and participation in the office for Students said it would be “fair” to warn A-Level students in advance so that they avoid shock” on results’ day.
“Ofqual wants the score down but if you compare it with – of course, what I saw – predicted grades in some schools, they accepted it in general what results I’ll go down but not necessarily for them,” Mr Blake told The Telegraph.
“What could lead a lot of of Students feel very disappointed on the day their grades fail match up to the scores they expected. And I think it’s important for people to prepare a little for it and admit it.”
Record number of failures from leading institutions
With students facing most competitive receipts round in decades research found what record numbers of British students have been denied admission to the UK’s most selective universities, including Oxford and Cambridge. in service of them overseas peers who pay far higher tuition fee.
Four out of ten British candidates who applications to top universities this summer were rejected, the largest rate ever recorded.
For past two-year students were awarded predictive grades, resulting in in rampant valuation inflation and record numbers of The boys got top marks.
Last summer 44.8% of students received an A* or A grade in their A-levels. This is up from 38.5% in 2020, when the controversial algorithm was abandoned in service of predicted scores.
Before the pandemic quarter of students received top grades each year, most recently 25.2 percent in 2019.
This year Exam boards have been ordered by Ofqual, the exam control body, to hack down on inflation, providing the amount of top marks are halfway between these of 2021 and 2019.
Mr Blake said the approach failed to prevent teachers from giving their students lavish predicted grades that are likely to be far higher than their actual results. He said it would lead to more students ending up in cleaning up after missing their offers, including the brightest students applying for highly competitive courses like medicine and dentistry.
However, published figures on Sunday showed the fall in number of Russell Group Courses in cleaning, with 2358 courses available compared to 3085 at the same time last year.
Mr. Blake said, “Whatever happens, I think there will be a lot of volatility and people need be prepared for what. And I think it’s fair to say this to the students so that it doesn’t come as a shock to them.
“What will happen also include some of most able [students]. We know that the most selective courses are competitive – they are always competitive – but they will more so it is year.
“There will be students who in normal year will not dream that they will have an issue, it may well be necessary to think it over.”
Sitting for the first time public exams
Mr Blake pointed out out what a year the A-level cohort never sat before public exams since their GCSEs were canceled in start of pandemic in 2020.
His warning follows the analysis of Prof. Alan Smithers, director of center for education and employment, which found that dozens of thousands of ‘Painfully disappointed’ A-Level students expected to miss out on their university offers year as 80,000 fewer top marks will be awarded.
Requirement for places took off due to the increase in number of eighteen-year-old in British population as well as more applications from mature students.
Meanwhile, universities have fewer places to offer it. year after bulge in their consumption during the pandemic, when they were forced to take more students than they planned.
And at the same time, universities are doing more of offers overseas pupils, who pay far higher tuition fees than their British counterparts.
“We know very few clearing figures of the best courses at the best universities that available” said Professor Smithers.
“It’s very competitive. year However for three other reasons. Universities are actively recruiting overseas pupils for the fees they bring in. Then we have an increase in eighteen-year-old population as well as more of them want go to university.
“And more of people who sat in home during self-isolation began to think “what should I do want do with my life?’ This seems to have led to an increase in applications from mature students.