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Labor, work in line for healthy majority while Boris Johnson could lose his seat, poll suggests

Sir Keir Starmer can get a comfortable majority of 56 seats. for Work hard and overthrow Boris Johnson on next general elections according to new survey published on in first day of at the party annual conference in Liverpool.

Savanta ComRes survey of more over 6,000 voters voted Labor clear 12 points forthcoming of conservatives, on 45 percent with Liz Truss party on 33 percent.

This suggests that there was no “farm rebound”. for Tories after the election of them new leader on start of September, with Conservative Party down two points and labor up three compared with previous month.

And analysis by county of in results showed that the Tories could lose 146 MPs, including many in key red-wall places won mr johnson in 2019.

However, sociologists warned that Sir Keir’s chances of capture of the keys to 10 Downing Street remain “unreliable” like a loss of just a point or two in polls could send him towards parliament territory.

Seat of former prime minister Mr Johnson, Uxbridge and South Ruislip are among those likely to go over to Labour, according to Savanta’s analysis.

Other notable Tories who may lose their place in parliament enable protection secretary Ben Wallace, in Wyre and Preston North and Northern Ireland minister as well as leading Brexiter Steve Baker in Wycombe.

Former prime minister Tony Blair’s place in Sedgefield was among the Reds.wall constituencies that will return to the Labor fold according to an analysis that used MRP (multilevel regression). with post-stratification) method of application of survey results at the local level.

And Sir Keir also it is worth reclaiming the totemic place in Workington – home of “Working Man”, political cartoon of socially conservative Working Class Voters Voting Quit in Midlands and North of England who went over to the Tories under Mr Johnson and also lost longtime Labor strongholds in 2019 such as Ashfield, Bassetlow and Blyth Valley.

However, the survey did show a little traditional leader constituencies – swing seats that usually go to the eventual winner of elections are not labor way, with the Conservatives hold Dartford, North Portsmouth, Nuneaton and Great Yarmouth.

Overall, Labor will win 154 seats compared to theirs. current count to reach total of 353 seats against 211 for Tori, 48 for SNiP (up four) and 15 for Liberal Democrats (up one), according to the MRP analysis.

The poll was completed before Friday’s sensational mini-budget, in which Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng borrowed £45bn to fund tax cuts mostly benefiting the wealthy and businesses.

political research director Chris Hopkins said “It’s MRP model highlights both potential and unreliable nature of Labor poll lead Currently.

“While it model gives Labor a majority of 56 seats with 12 points lead over conservatives, and one- swing point different way could reduce this majority is significant, and any larger fluctuation back to Liz Truss party can make it hard to work of in general, the majority, even if they national vote share beats the conservative figure by eight to nine points.

“The work force must hope that any farm jump will be short-lived and benefit from on an economic perspective that is rarely rewards ruling parties in elections box.

“If Labor can consistently generate double-lead poll-numbers over in governmentKeir Starmer will get better on well for Downing Street, and so this conference feels like decisive moment in his leadership.

“Now he has the opportunity to really separate Labor from economic policy. of farm-run government, and if he can convince voters that it is Labor, not the Conservatives, who have the answers to deal with the multitude of problems faced by the country, survey lead Work was enjoyed throughout May 2022 start feel more safe than that currently does.”

Savanta ComRes surveyed 6226 adults in Britannia on September 15 and 16

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Adrian Ovalle
Adrian Ovalle
Adrian is working as the Editor at World Weekly News. He tries to provide our readers with the fastest news from all around the world before anywhere else.

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