But the world weather attribution project that carried out Analysis, also said his conclusions were likely to be understated, warning what tools available for scientists have limitations and are creating blind spot for just how a lot of of a role people playing in heat waves.
Heat waves become more often and longer throughout the world, and scientists say that man-caused climate change affects on all of them.
To determine the influence of a person on extreme heatscientists use combination of observations and climate models, or simulations. Bye models often conservative in their conclusions observed extreme heat in Western Europe has increased significantly more what is estimated models.
“Bye models greenhouse gas emissions estimate temperature increase in this heat at 2˚C, historical weather records show that the heatwave would have been 4°C colder in a world that have not been warmed by human activity,” the WWA said. in Press release. “This suggests that models underestimate real influence of human-caused changing of the climate on high temperatures in UK and other parts of Western Europe. it also means that results of analysis conservative and climate change has likely increased the frequency of in event on more than a factor of 10 according to the study.”
People were advised work from home, some schools were closed and hospitals and emergency services stretched to their limits.
“In Europe and other parts of in world We see more as well as more record- interruption of heat waves causing extreme temperatures that get hotter faster than in the climate models”said Friederike Otto of the Grantham Institute. for Climate change at Imperial College London, who heads the VVA project. “This is a disturbing finding that suggests that if carbon emissions are not reduced quickly, the consequences of changing of the climate on extreme heat in Europe, which already extremely deadly, maybe even worse than we previously thought.”
Scientists have stated that model results also indicated heat the wave is so intense last weeks in UK “still rare in today’s climate” with probability 1% of it happens every year. However, one day again weather records show computer modeling results are conservative and similar extremes heat events most likely occur more also often.
In response to a post of in new WWA Analysis by Dr. Radhika Khosla of Oxford Smith School of The enterprise and the environment, praised by scientists for them speed.
“Carrying out express analysis based on on established, peer-reviewed WWA methods team can get evidence results in public domain, while we still remember major crashes from last extreme of the week heat. it latest in a series of research that everything show same result: climate change causes heatwaves more probably and more intense,” Khosla said.
“Level of heat The UK is now experiencing a dangerous situation: it is annoying on our infrastructure, economy, food and education systems, and on our bodies. Like study points out a lot homes in Great Britain became uninhabited in extreme heat. Adaptation to rising temperature, building heat stability with sustainable approaches and protection people is an immediate priority as unprecedented temperatures become the norm.”
Peter Stott, science guy in climate attribution with This was reported by the UK Met Office. won’t be last time the country will be forced to deal with such extremes.
“Temperatures above 40C will occur againpossibly in in next several years and very likely over in next several decades,” Stott said. “Only by reducing greenhouse gas emissions can we reduce risks of such extremes become more as well as more frequent.”
Angela Dewan of CNN and Rachel Ramirez contributed to this report.
